One party is afraid of losing by mail. The Leader of the party in power says that if people vote by mail they will never elect a Republican again.
Many people who respond to this include members of the party out of power. They respond in overwhelming numbers with historical arguments. They tend to point to the facts, that historically voting by mail does not generally favor one party or the other. They say that, further, although in some places voting by mail can make a difference for either party, historically the differences are a wash and the results turn out not to favor either party over the other.
They miss the point entirely.
In my judgment, what opponents of vote-by-mail are saying is that they are afraid of losing this election.
Recent election results reveal that in 2018, the party in power was rejected in great numbers, numbers so great that some might call them "huge." On April 7 of this year in Wisconsin, where State supreme court justices apparently run on partisan lines on the ballot, the candidate for justice backed by the party out of power shellacked (to coin a phrase) the candidate of the party in power. The strength of her victory was provided by mail-in ballots although, giving due, the courage displayed by voters in person at the polls that day was enormous in its own right.
Opponents of mail-in balloting look at these recent elections and see a coming tidal wave that will wash away their power. They see a tsunami that will sweep them out of office in very large numbers.
In many ways both parties are driven by fear, and in many ways they are victims of opposite fears. The party in power is afraid of losing power. This party recognizes that they will not win the popular vote without restricting the popular vote. They are afraid that the coming election will be so devastating to their hold on power that their best chance to stay in power is to make it harder for voters to vote.
The party out of power is moved by a diametrically opposite fear. Despite all evidence to the contrary, they are afraid that the party in power will stay in power. They do not recognize the fear that moves the party in power because it is so diametrically opposed to their own fear. They do not even recognize that fear permeates the party in power. Both fears cannot be right, so one consequence of the party out of power indulging their own fear is that they are blind to the fact that the party in power is afraid, too.
The party out of power fails to see, in the end, that the party in power is like them: motivated by emotion and not by logic. They try to reason with the opponents of vote-by-mail when emotion, not logic, is what drives their opponents.
So, do not ask for whom the mail-in ballot historically votes. Ask for whom the mail-in ballot votes today, now, in 2020.
Please read the disclaimer. ©2020 Dennis J. Wall. All rights reserved.